Viator +33 vs BR
CoM +36 vs MC
MA +36 vs Rita
LA -39 vs Shamrocks
IC +22 vs Marist
Naz +2 vs Iggy
ND +10 vs Fenwick
WSF +21 vs JCA
DLS +24 vs Lisle
PC -34 vs Rams
Leo +35 vs Leo
Montini -11 vs Marian
My Very Scientific Playoff Outlook (that likely has mistakes or math impossibilities):
-Brother Rice (2-2): I have them losing to MC and Rita. Beating Viator, Naz, Montini. None of those three are cakewalks so I peg their chances at ~85%
-MC (4-0): 100%
-Rita (3-1): Should get the win vs Marmion this week. Then finish with LA, WSF, SL & BR. All they'd need is a split vs WSF & SF. They'll likely sweep those two. 99%
-LA (4-0): 100%
-Marist (1-3): In the hole, but the rest of their games are winnable. I have them splitting ICCP/JCA and then winning out vs DLS, SP & ND. But not an easy task by any means. 60%
-Iggy (2-2): Think they can split their next two (Naz/ND). Then have them beating Marian & Viator to get to 5 wins. Finishing off with a close one vs JCA. I'll put it at 60%.
-JCA (3-1): With Leo and Marmion still on the schedule, I'm putting JCA at 99%.
-ND (2-2): Not looking great for the Dons. Think the best path is to split their next two (Iggy/Fenwick) and then beat DePaul and then split CoM/Marist. Other than the DePaul game, Dons will likely be underdogs the rest of the season. 25%.
-ICCP (4-0): Tough finish to the season with Marist, WSF, LA, DLS, Fenwick. They should be able to pick off at least one of those though, likely two. 95%.
-Naz (0-4): The much-talked-about Roadrunners. It's looking bleak for the defending champs. Back-to-back heartbreakers have likely sunk their hopes. I see them beating Iggy/Fenwick. But then dropping the BR game. If they finish off with wins vs Marian & WSF, will 4-5 and a whole bunch of playoff points be enough? 30%.
-Fenwick (3-1): They'll lose to Mt. Carmel and beat DePaul. That means they'll need to find one more win vs ND, Naz, ICCP. Not easy, but I think it's likely. 80%.
-WSF (2-2): Brutal schedule for the Spartans. Next three vs JCA, ICCP & Rita. Then a likely win vs Leo. Then finishing off with a Naz team that could be desperate. This is a good team. Will they have enough playoff points at 4-5? Can they even get to 4-5? Welcome to the CCL. 20%.
-Viator (3-1): After a disappointing loss to DLS, the Lions have ripped off three straight. But tough sledding ahead. They'll be dogs in their next four (BR, CoM, Montini, Iggy). They'll need to pull an upset against one of those teams and then beat Marmion. Not impossible. But unlikely. 30%
-Marmion (2-2):Not sure what to make of this squad. I know they are kicking themselves for a one-point loss week 1 vs Maine West. They'll lose this week to Rita and week 8 to JCA. But can they sweep St. Pat's, Larry & Viator? I don't see it. 5%
-St. Patrick (1-3): Not looking good for the Shamrocks. After losing to LA this week, they'll need to sweep Marmion, Benet, Marist, CoM. 1%
-CoM (4-0): The Corsairs are a playoff team. Would be shocking if they somehow ended the year losing to Viator/PC/ND/St. Pats. 99%
-DLS (2-2): One-point loss to St. Pats in week 3 was a killer. They'll be big dogs vs Benet, Marist and ICCP and favorites vs Leo & DePaul. Can they find a way to upset one of those three? Best chance is this week vs Benet. 5%
-DePaul (2-2): Not sure I see it this year for the Rams. They'll likely be dogs the rest of the season (Providence, Marian, ND, Fenwick, DLS). I don't see three wins there. 1%
-Leo (2-2): Nice win week 1 vs Bishop Mac for the Lions. They'll be big dogs the rest of the way though--Larry, DLS, JCA, WSF, Marian. 1%
-Marian (2-2): Another team that I am not sure how to feel about. After they put up a hell of a fight on the road vs HF, they lost by 3 TDs to Viator. They should beat DePaul & Leo. Then will need to find one win vs Montini/Iggy/Naz. I think that's unlikely. 2%
-St. Laurence (3-1): Great win vs Providence! And they needed it with Benet, Rita & Montini still on tap. I have them beating Leo & Marmion. Then a toss-up vs Benet. They should be in. 75%
-Benet (2-2): Blowing a 10-0 lead vs Montini last week was a big blow to the Redwings' playoff chances. Favorites this week vs DLS. Then a toss-up vs St. Laurence. Should beat St. Pat's. Then they finish with LA & Provi. Can they beat one of Laurence of Provi? 40%
-Montini (4-0): Great bounceback year for the Broncos. Shouldn't have any issue finding one more win on the schedule. 95%
-Providence (2-2): A shutout loss to JCA and loss to Larry's. But a nice win vs Fenwick. What to make of this Providence squad? After a likely win vs DePaul this week, they finish with Montini, CoM, MC & Benet. Are there two wins there? Tough. Could come down to that last game vs Benet. 55%
