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Loyola (Hollywood) vs LW East (Beast)

Final thoughts and prediction. New year, new teams, new players. Prior scores and victories, losses don't matter. All that matters is now. LWE went out and got a QB ( a real good one to boot)! If you can't beat them - I guess you join them..! LWE at home ! Revenge / payback (call it whatever you want) on the minds of the LWE faithful /fans. Motivation indeed! I like the underdog. LA 31 - LWE - 24.

Potential Cary grove estl rematch

East Side is a team with no "stars" this year.

Senior quarterback Kendrick Lyons has thrown for 2,183 yards and 21 touchdowns. ... Senior running back (uncommitted) Larevious Woods has rushed for 615 yards on 85 carries and 15 scores. ... Senior RB (Kent St.) TaRyan Martin has rushed for 462 yards. ... Senior WR (uncommitted) Christopher Bennett Jr. leads team with 592 receiving yards. ... Sophomore WR Ronnie Gomiller has nine touchdowns and 489 receiving yards. ... Junior (DE/DT) Keandre McClendon has team-high 118 tackles and nine sacks. ... Junior (DE/DT) Caleb Brown has 102 tackles and 14 sacks. ... Senior MLB Elmo Gilliam Jr. has 108 tackles and five sacks. ... Senior CB Raheem Floyd and sophomore CB Phillip White have three interceptions each.

Batavia at New Lenox Lincoln -Way Central

From a purely objective standpoint, I feel like if Batavia plays its game it will be very difficult, but still possible for LWC to win. Batavia is the heavy favorite. Interestingly to me, if you asked me the same question before the LWW game I wouldn't give you the same answer. They have become much more dangerous on offensive with their soph QB throwing darts and they seem to have hit their stride on defense as well. The first half of the LWW game seemed to be a real turning point

MMXXIV Edition - CCL-ESCC Predictions Week XIII

Jack Nicholson Yes GIF

HANG IT IN THE LOCKER ROOM

Posts like this are why @tuccs sandbagging is completely neutralized this time around. Franny is just honored Naz is allowing them to take the same field.
Naz just figured the "we're going to state" team picture will look better for Franny on green turf but you're right it was pretty gracious of them.

Success Factor/NAZ

Sorry all the posts above were just making me dizzy and my understanding of the Success Factor (SF) has decreased, the more I read.

So, if JCA beats Morris the SF will kick in for JCA with 2 trophies. ( I'm fairly sure that's correct.)
BUT
What if JCA's enrollment puts them in the 4A high side next year? Would the SF only drive them up to 5A? Or 6A, 2 classes?

Also, I'm kind of still sleepy from my nap. :)
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MMXXIV Edition - CCL-ESCC Predictions Week XIII

I always love when they have MC with a FG tied to their score as they have only attempted 1 this season to my memory 😀
A special thanks to the greatest fans in high school football:
@k1867 @3OrangeWhips @refref01 @tuccs @BillyTheBuffoon @pjjp @80sRambler @MsDavis10 @Stella5 @BornNRazed @ESCC fan @RockSoup @stl705 @BoundaryCorner @McCaravan @ChicagoRambler @SiuCubFan8 @DMurph11 @Crusaderfan19 @K3D88 @RameyJacoby
Once again, you've all made this a memorable and interesting season. Watching the LA-MS game last Saturday, beautiful late fall day, two rivals, excitement - I could not imagine being anywhere else. Cheers to all our teams and followers!

Notre Dame (Niles, IL) at St. Ignatius (Chicago, IL) Fri., Nov. 22, 7:00 pm
[projection and percent chances to win: St. Ignatius (Chicago, IL) 27 (81%), [2024] Notre Dame (Niles, IL) 13 (19%)]

Wilmington (12-0) at Lombard (Montini) (10-2), Sat., Nov. 23, 1:00 pm
[projection and percent chances to win: Wilmington (IL) 20 (58%) Montini Catholic (Lombard, IL) 17 (42%)]

Chicago (DePaul) (9-3) at Coal City (10-2), Sat., Nov. 23, 1:00 pm
[projection and percent chances to win: Coal City (IL) 28 (60%) DePaul College Prep (Chicago, IL) 24 (40%)]

Wheaton (St. Francis) (10-2) at LaGrange Park (Nazareth Academy) (10-2), Sat., Nov. 23, 1:00 pm
[projection and percent chances to win: Nazareth Academy (LaGrange Park, IL) 35 (80%) St. Francis (Wheaton, IL) 22 (20%)]

Morris (8-4) at Joliet (Catholic Academy) (9-3), Sat., Nov. 23, 2:00 pm
[projection and percent chances to win: Joliet Catholic Academy (Joliet, IL) 42 (98%) Morris (IL) 7 (2%)]

Chicago (Mt. Carmel) (9-3) at Chicago (St. Rita) (10-2), Sat., Nov. 23, 3:00 pm
[projection and percent chances to win: #174 Mount Carmel (Chicago, IL) 31 (74%) St. Rita (Chicago, IL) 21 (26%)]

Wilmette (Loyola Academy) (10-2) at Frankfort (Lincoln-Way East) (12-0), Sat., Nov. 23, 6:00 pm
[projection and percent chances to win: Lincoln-Way East (Frankfort, IL) 26 (65%) Loyola Academy (Wilmette, IL) 19 (35%)]
Iggy
Montini
DePaul
Naz
JCA
SR
LA

Wilmington @ Montini

Montini will prevail, 28-14 - but will not be easy. They have to limit the turnovers (4 in last 2 games) and penalties, too many.
I like Montini running ball. Plus, sending all the receivers down field and letting their dual-threat QB take off running for 10-15 yards.

The pass out in the flats to their All-State WR does not work!! In the last 2 games they get back to the line of scrimmage at best. Defensives read this and shut it down.
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MMXXIV Edition - CCL-ESCC Predictions Week XIII

Wheaton (St. Francis) (10-2) at LaGrange Park (Nazareth Academy) (10-2), Sat., Nov. 23, 1:00 pm
No reasonable person not afflicted by disease believes St Francis has a chance. Roadrunners.
Jack Nicholson Yes GIF

HANG IT IN THE LOCKER ROOM

Posts like this are why @tuccs sandbagging is completely neutralized this time around. Franny is just honored Naz is allowing them to take the same field.
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Naz vs St Francis

I think SF needs to win the turnover battle as SIU said, as well get some run game going. I think a big part of last years Naz semifinal win was that Naz ran the ball extremely well and SF couldn’t get anything going.

SF needs to make Naz 1-dimensional and stay 2-dimensional.

The last two years I felt lik SF was the favorite going in / had a very good chance to win. I have zero expectations going into this game.

Batavia at New Lenox Lincoln -Way Central

Batavia visited the other New Lenox school and arrived late beating Lincoln-Way West. Having seen LW Central early in the year live vs. yet another New Lenox school..Providence, and left with questions about the Knights. I know there were injuries at that time for LWC and have seen a ton of improvement in later game films. Can LWC compete with Batavia in this one?

Success Factor/NAZ

I mean the SF is dumb in any iteration - don't get me wrong - but it's also super dumb that it's measured in fixed calendar year periods instead of rolling. What's the justification?
I was not part of the process and therefore do not have an insider's insight. Nevertheless, the following unofficial explanation, which is solely the product of my mind, might be the justification.

I think the success factor was last modified at the same time football districts were approved. The districts were designed to work in fixed two-year periods of time so each school would have the opportunity to host every other district member. They would host a district member in one year, and then play that district member on the road in the other year. That could not be done if a district member were moved to a different class level based on a rolling success factor. Consequently, in order to align the success factor with the approved district plan, the success factor needed to be based on the same two-year fixed period as the districts were based on.

When the district plan was subsequently voted out, they could have and probably should have gone back to the former success factor, but they didn't. It would have required a separate vote because the success factor was not a direct part of the district plan.

That seems to be the most likely explanation.
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