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MMXXIV Edition - CCL-ESCC Predictions Week XIII

A special thanks to the greatest fans in high school football:
@k1867 @3OrangeWhips @refref01 @tuccs @BillyTheBuffoon @pjjp @80sRambler @MsDavis10 @Stella5 @BornNRazed @ESCC fan @RockSoup @stl705 @BoundaryCorner @McCaravan @ChicagoRambler @SiuCubFan8 @DMurph11 @Crusaderfan19 @K3D88 @RameyJacoby
Once again, you've all made this a memorable and interesting season. Watching the LA-MS game last Saturday, beautiful late fall day, two rivals, excitement - I could not imagine being anywhere else. Cheers to all our teams and followers!

Notre Dame (Niles, IL) at St. Ignatius (Chicago, IL) Fri., Nov. 22, 7:00 pm
[projection and percent chances to win: St. Ignatius (Chicago, IL) 27 (81%), [2024] Notre Dame (Niles, IL) 13 (19%)]

Wilmington (12-0) at Lombard (Montini) (10-2), Sat., Nov. 23, 1:00 pm
[projection and percent chances to win: Wilmington (IL) 20 (58%) Montini Catholic (Lombard, IL) 17 (42%)]

Chicago (DePaul) (9-3) at Coal City (10-2), Sat., Nov. 23, 1:00 pm

[projection and percent chances to win: Coal City (IL) 28 (60%) DePaul College Prep (Chicago, IL) 24 (40%)]

Wheaton (St. Francis) (10-2) at LaGrange Park (Nazareth Academy) (10-2), Sat., Nov. 23, 1:00 pm

[projection and percent chances to win: Nazareth Academy (LaGrange Park, IL) 35 (80%) St. Francis (Wheaton, IL) 22 (20%)]

Morris (8-4) at Joliet (Catholic Academy) (9-3), Sat., Nov. 23, 2:00 pm

[projection and percent chances to win: Joliet Catholic Academy (Joliet, IL) 42 (98%) Morris (IL) 7 (2%)]

Chicago (Mt. Carmel) (9-3) at Chicago (St. Rita) (10-2), Sat., Nov. 23, 3:00 pm

[projection and percent chances to win: #174 Mount Carmel (Chicago, IL) 31 (74%) St. Rita (Chicago, IL) 21 (26%)]

Wilmette (Loyola Academy) (10-2) at Frankfort (Lincoln-Way East) (12-0), Sat., Nov. 23, 6:00 pm

[projection and percent chances to win: Lincoln-Way East (Frankfort, IL) 26 (65%) Loyola Academy (Wilmette, IL) 19 (35%)]

Althoff vs Camp Point

All.... Any Panthers faithful on the board? Since the rodent is planning to take in this game I'm curious on what the team brings to the table. I'm told on offense the Wing T and a pretty decent defense. Other then a scare from Routt and the two battles with Hardin (Calhoun) it has been relative smooth sailing.

Speaking of the game Crusader.... a couple of more questions if I may. Is the only parking around the school. I assume the area behind the Learning Center and Knights of Columbus is a no. What time does the pre game morning soiree behind St. Henry's get cranked up. Looking forward to that as well. 😇 Ratsy

Q of the Week: Did Northwestern build a future host site for IHSA Football finals?

Again on Saturday covered the Lane Tech MP game at Gately....came home had some pizza and did some work while I had the Indiana at Purdue game on. Was really impressed at the temporary stadium at Northwestern. Seats 12k looked pretty cool overall. First thought that came in my head is "Is Indiana really undefeated" and the second was Could they host the IHSA state football finals here? Again it's decent capacity but still small enough to be loud and look great on TV.....sure the weather will be horrible but so is DeKalb, Normal and everywhere else we go in late November. The surface is turf (unlike the new stadium under construction) so it would meet IHSA field requirements in the contract...they obviously have a great indoor facility next to the stadium etc.

Just a thought and feel free to knock this around.

Addison West- (Cary Grove 2018) Outland Semifinalist

Pretty Cool- Former Cary Grove HW OL Addison West (2018 State Championship) current Ol at Western Michigan just named semi finalist for Outland Award (best interior lineman in nation)

Marmion Academy To Go Coed

After nearly a century as an all-boys institution Marmion Academy in Aurora will welcome female students as early as the 2026-27 academic school year.

"After a year of intense study, discernment and prayerful reflection it was detrrmined that it was the right time to make the change" the school stated adding that "Our values rooted in the Catholic Benedictine tradition will remain at the heart of our mission"

The Marmion Abby chapter of Monks voted Saturday to approve the planning and implementation of a coeducational model which followed a school board recommendation in October

The initial stratagy will focus on keeping students in single gender classrooms as freshmen and sophomores and then moving to coed classrooms for their junior and senior years

The decision raised some concerns about the impact on Rosary High School a private Catholic
all-girls school in Aurora. Rosary is not closing, is not facing financial hardship, and has no imminent plans to merge with any other institutions.

Rosary partners with Marmion on programs like theater and school officials say the hope to continue collaborating. School leaders will explore options amid " a fundamental shift in Catholic education in the Fox Valley

As for Marmion, administrators feel the change will "Better prepare students for the diverse, interconnected world and meet the needs of famalies in tbe Fox Valley area who want their daughters to have a transformative education and to position Marmion for long-term enrollment growth.

IHSA Top 50 Programs

I love that the IHSA is releasing their top 50 programs to celebrate 50 years of the playoffs and state championships!
Any predictions on who the top programs will be?
I’m going with East St. Louis #3. Mount Carmel #2 and Joliet Catholic #1.
Catholic because of their 44 playoff appearances to Carmel’s 38.
Both programs have 20 trophies. (15 - 1st and 5 - 2nd).
Catholic also with an advantage by having a state title in all 6 decades.
Should be fun watching this countdown through the season.

ICE Semis

As mentioned before, the ICE is not a deep conference, however it is pretty impressive to have two teams in the Semifinals from the same conference. Not just the same conference but essentially 5 miles apart. Good luck to the last two standing and represent our area well!

3A

#2 Wilmington (12-0) @ #9 Montini (10-2) - Wilmington has two keys to winning this game......Eliminate injuries and what is the injury status of Farrell? I was thinking Wilmington's season would be over here, however Montini did not look unbeatable against Princeton. Also, if you look at their results from the year, yes they beat Byron and 4A quarter team St. Laurence, but they don't really have any other win that looks overly impressive. I wouldn't bet my house on it, but for the sake of a message board, give me the Cats. Wilmo 24 Montini 21



4A

#9 Depaul (9-3) @ #7 Coal City (10-2) - Very impressed with how CC has done this year. I kind of thought they would just fizzle out by 2nd round or quarters, but they keep getting better. Same thing as Montini, Depaul hasn't really beat anyone of huge stature. Like Wilmo I wouldn't bet on this but for the Homer pick I'll take CC. CC 20 Depaul 13

Side note, what bars should be considered for a beer and lunch before the Wilmington game. Not a B-dubs or chain. Give me something with some character.

MC vs SR Part 105

Let's discuss. It's my favorite game of the year, regardless of records or the final score, because these two programs are cut from the same cloth and while the fire will be lit and words will be exchanged during the game, it's become very clear over the years that there is an obvious respect that these teams and players have for one another, despite the occasional shoving match and heated exchange, you will see many of the players with a post game hug with one another as the opposing player may very well be his best friend since the first grade at St. Cajetan, St. John Fisher, Christ the King, St. Christina, Mount Greenwood or one of the numerous other great schools these young men come from. Enough sentimental talk though let's break it down.

MC has had a trying year, I've been critical of their defensive performance on many occasions this year, some warranted, some maybe over critical, and I was far from alone, but regardless of my two cents, here they are in the semifinals again. MC had been arguably the best in the State in the past two years, with Loyola stating their claim to that title as well, the only loses these teams had were to each other in 2022 and 2023. So MC fans were spoiled with unbelievable talent, many going on the D1 and other College programs, I watched Darrion Dupree have many meaningful carries vs the #1 team in the Nation last Saturday night as a true Freshman. So MC had to replace numerous star players, including 4 OL, all the WR's, both RB's, the entire DL, the Defensive player of the Year in Parker Startz, and both cornerbacks.....and the kicker! But they had two heart and souls of the team returning in Jack Elliott on Offense and Matt Mucha on Defense who I will discuss in a minute. Even as I typed this I'm aware that I might have been overly critical of their performance at times with all that they had to replace, but we are allowed as fans to be critical as long as we feel it's warranted. How did MC replace all that talent? Well they went young, which regardless of what happens Saturday will bode well for continued success in the upcoming years. On offense they replaced the 4 graduated OL with 4 juniors, who after taking their lumps, especially against a strong Hun DL in game 1, have really gelled as the season went on. At WR they were fortunate enough to get a transfer in Cooper Lehman who broke a single game receiving record and had a great season, Quinton Burrell who is only a Soph has had ridiculous numbers and is, I believe, over 1,000 yards in receiving and over 10 TDs, has been one of the best MC has had at WR and he's a Soph. Then in mid season they brought up Marshaun Thornton from the Freshman team for another added dynamic. On the freshman level he was a man among boys. At 6'3 we was averaging 2 to 3 TDS a game and doing it with ease. In my years I don't think I ever saw a freshman play the regular season on Varsity. He was brought up for the BR game for another possible weapon when Elliott was out with an injury and he looked like an upperclassman from the get go, making some mistakes but also some spectacular catches and touchdowns. RB has been a work in progress, at times showing life and at times being the flatlined. It was a gamble moving Danyil Taylor, a two year starter at TE to RB, but he is a powerful athlete who many saw potential as a RB after watching him run after the catch. I won't fault him, it's a huge adjustment and he has had some great games and runs and has over 10 TDs, RB position has been the MC bread and butter for decades and seeing it as a work in progress got some of the Boo Birds out, but my hand to God I definitely gave Taylor some rope here. They added in Madden Wilson near mid season and he's been really coming on. He's more of a traditional 5'10 RB.

Defensively is where you have heard me be critical. They have let up 261 points in 12 games after letting up under 150 in 14 the past two seasons. So you could see my and many other fans frustrations, but I also was aware that it was a work in progress, and while I have seen flashes of brilliance, I've also seen many plays where the youth and inexperience has shown. The Defense is also very young, 5 juniors, 2 Sophomores and 1 mammoth Freshmen in Caleb "Bonecrusher" Tucker in at nose! Several other players have been shuffled in to try to make the best fit, and it looks like they found the best 11 the past few weeks even though Sophomore MLB Roman Igwebuike left in an ambulance against Normal and I'm not sure what the status is. So now, my position breakdown vs. SR

Quarterback- Advantage MC. Fine job by SR's Armbruster and I heard he set SR's single season passing record, and he's just a junior! But he's going up against MC's Superman in Jack Elliott. He has shattered all MC QB records, has been the vocal and physical leader on and off the field, reminds me of Jordan Lynch and how he took NIU on his back and lead his junior and senior year by playing with ultimate toughness. And he missed the BR game, came back probably 3 weeks too soon and did what he could when he was obviously nowhere near full strength. He seems to be moving well and back to normal so let's see how he finishes his MC career.

Running Back- Advantage SR- as discussed above it was a work in progress for MC and this is where SR has their Superman in Nick Herman. He's put together a great senior ride and I know this games means a lot to him. He had a fumble in the 2022 semifinal that led to MC taking the lead and I know he will give everything he has this game to make up for that.

WR's- Advantage MC- See above for my assessment on the MC WR's I believe it's in paragraph 2, page 10 😀. SR had some good WRs, your QB doesn't break records without them but this is clear MC here.

OL- I'm going to go with even here. The 4 junior lineman have gelled well for MC and I have never seen a SR team without a good line so let's say it's a draw.

Defense
DL- Slight MC....SR has a 4 man front while MC, despite occasionally using a 4 man front, does a 3 man front with USC commit Junior Braedon Jones, Freshman Tucker at nose and then DE Junior Joey Quinn who has seen the D1 offers begin to come in with Iowa St and Kansas recently offering. I think Quinn has been great at DE, Tucker is 6'4 330 and can move, handling that position outstanding for a freshman, but I want to see more out of Jones. He draws double teams but I still want to see that next gear, he checks all the boxes physically. SR front is always tough. Is Daniher back? I saw him in and out but I know he's knee was banged up.

LB- Slight SR- how can this be slight SR with CCL Blue Defensive Player of the Year Mucha with MC? Because SR has the CCL Green Lawless Winner in Justin Buckner, and he's teamed up with James Kingsbury and Owen Lynch. If Roman was healthy I would make
this a draw but it didn't look good for him so this position goes to SR but not without giving major props to Matt Mucha who has a motor that never stops and makes tackle after tackle after tackle.

Secondary- Advantage MC- it was a work in progress for MC. Saw about 5 different combinations of DBs but I think they got it right now. Javy Payne is a D1 DB and had been playing through injury. He has 13 ints in 2 seasons. Zander Gorman goes 100mph, 100 % of the time and sometimes that costs him but he doesn't have an off switch. Sophomore Taveras Harrington has been tested by many teams but really has come along . At 6'2 I see him drawing numerous D1 offers soon. I admit I don't know much about this position from SRs side but I have heard they have had growing pains.

Special Teams- Normally hands down SR but I saw the kicker miss 4 FGs against Willowbrook. Despite that, this still goes to SR as I think MC had tried 1 FG, and made it, and I think they have punted maybe 6 times this year as Coach Lynch doesn't like to waste another try at a first down....live by the sword, die by the sword!

After all that, my prediction? Check back Friday! Cheers

MMXXIV Edition - CCL-ESCC Predictions Week XII

Heights, Marmion, Benet, Naz ... is it time to invite Rochelle into the CCLESCC?
And for those of you realizing high school football opportunities are dwindling - the Prep Bowl playoffs have 2 night games this week. Enjoy an Espresso or a Cappuccino in Little Italy or perhaps an Irish Coffee in New Lenox.
Meanwhile the CCLESCC people will be invading the rest of the state: Rochelle, Sycamore, Peoria, Princeton - you have been warned!

Normal @ MC
Mount Carmel (Chicago, IL) vs. Normal (IL) [projection and percent chances to win: Mount Carmel (Chicago, IL) 42 (93%) Normal (IL) 19 (7%)]
MS @ LA
Loyola Academy (Wilmette, IL) vs. Maine South (Park Ridge, IL) [projection and percent chances to win: Loyola Academy (Wilmette, IL) 35 (84%) Maine South (Park Ridge, IL) 20 (16%)]
Quincy @ SR
St. Rita (Chicago, IL) vs. Quincy (IL) [projection and percent chances to win: St. Rita (Chicago, IL) 31 (65%) Quincy (IL) 24 (35%)]
Naz @ Rochelle
Nazareth Academy (LaGrange Park, IL) vs. Rochelle (IL) [projection and percent chances to win: Nazareth Academy (LaGrange Park, IL) 42 (88%) Rochelle (IL) 22 (12%)]
SF @ Sycamore
Sycamore (IL) vs. St. Francis (Wheaton, IL) [projection and percent chances to win: St. Francis (Wheaton, IL) 31 (58%) Sycamore (IL) 28 (42%)]
JC @ Peoria
Joliet Catholic Academy (Joliet, IL) vs. Peoria (IL) [projection and percent chances to win: Joliet Catholic Academy (Joliet, IL) 42 (93%) Peoria (IL) 19 (7%)]
SL @ DP
St. Laurence (Burbank, IL) vs. DePaul College Prep (Chicago, IL) [projection and percent chances to win: St. Laurence (Burbank, IL) 31 (74%) DePaul College Prep (Chicago, IL) 21 (26%)]
MCHS @ Princeton
Montini Catholic (Lombard, IL) vs. Princeton (IL) [projection and percent chances to win: Montini Catholic (Lombard, IL) 41 (98%) Princeton (IL) 7 (2%)]

CoM @ SI - FRIDAY
playoffs (neutral field)
[2024] St. Ignatius (Chicago, IL) 31 (74%), [2024] Carmel (Mundelein, IL) 21 (26%)
ND @ PC - THURSDAY
playoffs (neutral field)
[2024] Providence Catholic (New Lenox, IL) 24 (87%), [2024] Notre Dame (Niles, IL) 6 (13%)
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