Per Steve Soucie
Ask Soucie: Week 9 Playoff Projection Questions here
We spiked to 272 teams projected to finish with records of 5-4 or better.
That led to a little bit of finagling with the point line. As of now there are eight teams projected to finish with 5-4 records and 39 points. Those teams are through to the projection. They are: Morgan Park, Crystal Lake Central, Hinsdale South, Glenbrook South, Lake Forest, Orangeville, Peoria Notre Dame and Stark County.
If any of those teams fail to reach 39 they fall into the group of 5-4 and 38’s, there are three teams (Benton, Burlington Central and Polo) at this stage. As of right now, Benton advances through to the projection, Polo and Burlington Central are out.
Teams projected to finish 5-4 and have less than 38 points and are eliminated are in addition to Burlington Central and Polo: Kincaid South Fork, Mount Zion, Leyden, Kirkland Hiawatha, Rock Island, Hardin Calhoun, Mount Carmel (downstate), Tri-County, Canton, Oakwood, North Chicago, Mooseheart, Glenbrook North and LaSalle-Peru.
Class 8A
Smallest school in the field: Edwardsville
New teams in the field: Lake Park (win over Neuqua gets them in)
Team removed from the field: Glenbard West (now in 7A)
(32) Glenbrook South at (1) Lincoln-Way East
(17) St. Charles East at (16) Oswego East
(25) Neuqua Valley at (8) Oswego
(24) Evanston at (9) Minooka
(29) Bloom at (4) Homewood-Flossmoor
(20) Aurora West at (13) Stevenson
(28) Lake Park at (5) Maine South
(21) Edwardsville at (12) Bolingbrook
(31) Joliet West at (2) Barrington
(18) Niles Notre Dame at (15) Lyons
(26) Gurnee Warren at (7) Loyola
(23) New Trier at (10) South Elgin
(30) Oak Park-River Forest at (3) Marist
(19) Chicago Curie at (14) Naperville Central
(27) Palatine at (6) Huntley
(22) Naperville North at (11) Hinsdale Central
Class 7A
Smallest school in the field: Hersey
Largest school in the field: Glenbard West
New teams in field: Chicago Mt. Carmel (They keep pulling me back in!), Glenbard West (was in 8A).
Teams leaving the field: Pekin (loss to Metamora will keep them from getting to five), Glenbrook North (will likely get five, won’t have the points)
(32) Downers Grove North at (1) Batavia
(17) Wheaton North at (16) Plainfield North
(25) Chicago Simeon at (8) Hersey
(24) Jacobs at (9) Lincoln-Way Central
(29) Alton at (4) Lake Zurich
(20) Benet at (13) St. Charles (North)
(28) Highland Park at (5) Chicago Lincoln Park
(21) Fenwick at (12) Lincoln-Way West
(31) Machesney Park Harlem at (2) Normal Community
(18) Rolling Meadows at (15) Rockford East
(26) Libertyville at (7) East St. Louis
(23) Belleville West at (10) Maine West
(30) Schaumburg at (3) Hononegah
(19) Buffalo Grove at (14) Moline
(27) Chicago Mount Carmel at (6) Glenbard West
(22) Andrew at (11) St. Rita
Class 6A
Smallest school in the field: Chatham Glenwood
Largest school in the field: Willowbrook
New team in field: None
Team out of field: None
North Bracket
(16) Crystal Lake Central at (1) Prairie Ridge
(9) Cary-Grove at (8) Chicago Mather
(13) St. Ignatius at (4) Riverside-Brookfield
(12) Montini at (5) Hoffman Estates
(15) Lake Forest at (2) Nazareth
(10) De La Salle at (7) DeKalb
(14) Marmion at (3) Rockford Auburn
(11) Grayslake North at (6) Willowbrook
South Bracket
(16) Hinsdale South at (1) Crete-Monee
(9) Blue Island Eisenhower at (8) Danville
(13) Chicago Hubbard at (4) St. Laurence
(12) T.F. South at (5) Oak Lawn Richards
(15) Springfield at (2) Normal Community West
(10) Providence Catholic at (7) Chatham Glenwood
(14) Peoria at (3) Shepard
(11) Quincy at (6) Sacred Heart Griffin
Class 5A
Smallest school in the field: Rochelle
Largest school in the field: St. Viator
New teams in field: Rochelle (was in 4A), Woodstock Marian (win over Niles Notre Dame gets them in)
Teams out of field: Burlington Central (out on points), Oak Forest (tough road to five wins)
North Bracket
(16) Woodstock Marian at (1) Chicago Phillips
(9) Chicago Phoenix at (8) Chicago Solorio Academy
(13) Westinghouse at (4) Chicago Payton
(12) Kaneland at (5) Lake Villa Lakes
(15) St. Viator at (2) Sterling
(10) Rochelle at (7) Chicago Back of the Yards
(14) Glenbard South at (3) Antioch
(11) Woodstock North at (6) Chicago Lindblom
South Bracket
(16) Peoria Notre Dame at (1) Dunlap
(9) Morton at (8) Rich Central
(13) Peoria Richwoods at (4) Washington
(12) Tinley Park at (5) Hillcrest
(15) Chicago Morgan Park at (2) Lemont
(10) Marion at (7) Centralia
(14) Streator at (3) Triad
(11) Mahomet-Seymour at (6) Decatur MacArthur
note: revisions have been made to 4A thru 1A as of Tuesday 825PM CST
Class 4A
Largest team in field: Highland
Smallest team in field: Watseka
New teams in field: Watseka (was in 3A), Kewanee (was in 3A), Chicago (Urban Prep Bronzeville) (can’t figure out one of these CPL leagues for the life of me)
Teams removed from field: Rochelle (now in 5A), Julian (another shift in the CPL conference), Mount Zion (points issues).
Northern Bracket
(16) Chicago Urban Prep-Englewood at (1) Johnsburg
(9) Coal City at (8) Rock Island Alleman
(13) Norridge Ridgewood at (4) Morris
(12) Richmond-Burton at (5) Genoa-Kingston
(15) Wheaton Academy at (2) Dixon
(10) Manteno at (7) Elmwood Park
(14) Kewanee at (3) Chicago Raby
(11) Chicago Agricultural Science at (6) Chicago Urban Prep-Bronzeville
Southern Bracket
(16) Benton at (1) Herscher
(9) Watseka at (8) Belleville Althoff
(13) Paris at (4) Highland
(12) Pontiac at (5) Herrin
(15) Prairie Central at (2) Tolono Unity
(10) Carterville at (7) Effingham
(14) Quincy Notre Dame at (3) Rochester
(11) Columbia at (6) Taylorville
Class 3A
Largest team in the field: Wood River (East Alton)
Smallest team in the field: Pana
New teams in the field: Pana (was in 2A), Farmington (was in 2A).
Teams removed from field: Watseka (now in 4A), Kewanee (now in 4A).
Northern Bracket
(16) Winnebago at (1) Farmington
(9) Elmwood at (8) Peotone
(13) Paxton at (4) IC Catholic
(12) Bloomington Central Catholic at (5) Decatur St. Teresa
(15) Spring Valley Hall at (2) Williamsville
(10) Eureka at (7) Wilmington
(14) Poplar Grove North Boone at (3) Byron
(11) Beardstown at (6) Monticello
Southern Bracket
(16) Harrisburg at (1) Fairfield
(9) Wood River (East Alton) at (8) DuQuoin
(13) Greenville at (4) Pana
(12) Hillsboro at (5) Sesser-Valier
(15) West Frankfort at (2) Carlinville
(10) Pleasant Plains at (7) Alton Marquette
(14) Marshall at (3) Anna-Jonesboro
(11) Vandalia at (6) Newton
Class 2A
Largest school in field: Trenton Wesclin
Smallest school in field: Carlyle
New teams in field: Red Bud (big win over Columbia).
Teams removed from field: Farmington (now in 3A)
Northern Bracket
(16) Aurora Christian at (1) Sterling Newman
(9) Sciota West Prairie at (8) Chicago Hope Academy
(13) Bureau Valley at (4) Orion
(12) Chicago Marshall at (5) Clifton Central
(15) Pearl City (Eastland) at (2) Gibson City-Melvin Sibley
(10) Chicago Orr at (7) Fieldcrest
(14) Rockford Christian at (3) Rockridge
(11) Savanna West Carroll at (6) Knoxville
Southern Bracket
(16) Auburn at (1) Hamilton West Hancock
(9) Carmi White County at (8) Bismarck-Henning
(13) Red Bud at (4) Tri-Valley
(12) Illini West at (5) Maroa-Forsyth
(15) Deer Creek Mackinaw at (2) Trenton Wesclin
(10) Carlyle at (7) Shelbyville
(14) Bunker Hill at (3) Westville
(11) Villa Grove at (6) Eldorado
Class 1A
Largest School in field: Tuscola
New teams in field: Pleasant Hill (Brown County upset gets them in), Triopia (I’ll be honest, throwing darts in the WIVC right now).
Teams removed from field: Kirkland Hiawatha (points problems), Hardin Calhoun (points issues).
Northern Bracket
(16) Orangeville at (1) Lena-Winslow
(9) Milledgeville at (8) Dakota
(13) Cuba North Fulton at (4) Princeville
(12) Fisher at (5) Freeport Aquin
(15) Stark County at (2) Kewanee Wethersfield
(10) Abingdon at (7) Ottawa Marquette
(14) Salt Fork at (3) Forreston
(11) Fulton at (6) Stockton
Southern Bracket
(16) Chester at (1) Tuscola
(9) Toledo Cumberland at (8) Brown County
(13) Moweaqua Central A&M at (4) Argenta-Oreana
(12) Madison at (5) Athens
(15) Pleasant Hill at (2) Red Hill
(10) Warrensburg-Latham at (7) Arcola
(14) Concord Triopia at (3) Carrollton
(11) Camp Point Central at (6) Decatur Lutheran
Ask Soucie: Week 9 Playoff Projection Questions here
We spiked to 272 teams projected to finish with records of 5-4 or better.
That led to a little bit of finagling with the point line. As of now there are eight teams projected to finish with 5-4 records and 39 points. Those teams are through to the projection. They are: Morgan Park, Crystal Lake Central, Hinsdale South, Glenbrook South, Lake Forest, Orangeville, Peoria Notre Dame and Stark County.
If any of those teams fail to reach 39 they fall into the group of 5-4 and 38’s, there are three teams (Benton, Burlington Central and Polo) at this stage. As of right now, Benton advances through to the projection, Polo and Burlington Central are out.
Teams projected to finish 5-4 and have less than 38 points and are eliminated are in addition to Burlington Central and Polo: Kincaid South Fork, Mount Zion, Leyden, Kirkland Hiawatha, Rock Island, Hardin Calhoun, Mount Carmel (downstate), Tri-County, Canton, Oakwood, North Chicago, Mooseheart, Glenbrook North and LaSalle-Peru.
Class 8A
Smallest school in the field: Edwardsville
New teams in the field: Lake Park (win over Neuqua gets them in)
Team removed from the field: Glenbard West (now in 7A)
(32) Glenbrook South at (1) Lincoln-Way East
(17) St. Charles East at (16) Oswego East
(25) Neuqua Valley at (8) Oswego
(24) Evanston at (9) Minooka
(29) Bloom at (4) Homewood-Flossmoor
(20) Aurora West at (13) Stevenson
(28) Lake Park at (5) Maine South
(21) Edwardsville at (12) Bolingbrook
(31) Joliet West at (2) Barrington
(18) Niles Notre Dame at (15) Lyons
(26) Gurnee Warren at (7) Loyola
(23) New Trier at (10) South Elgin
(30) Oak Park-River Forest at (3) Marist
(19) Chicago Curie at (14) Naperville Central
(27) Palatine at (6) Huntley
(22) Naperville North at (11) Hinsdale Central
Class 7A
Smallest school in the field: Hersey
Largest school in the field: Glenbard West
New teams in field: Chicago Mt. Carmel (They keep pulling me back in!), Glenbard West (was in 8A).
Teams leaving the field: Pekin (loss to Metamora will keep them from getting to five), Glenbrook North (will likely get five, won’t have the points)
(32) Downers Grove North at (1) Batavia
(17) Wheaton North at (16) Plainfield North
(25) Chicago Simeon at (8) Hersey
(24) Jacobs at (9) Lincoln-Way Central
(29) Alton at (4) Lake Zurich
(20) Benet at (13) St. Charles (North)
(28) Highland Park at (5) Chicago Lincoln Park
(21) Fenwick at (12) Lincoln-Way West
(31) Machesney Park Harlem at (2) Normal Community
(18) Rolling Meadows at (15) Rockford East
(26) Libertyville at (7) East St. Louis
(23) Belleville West at (10) Maine West
(30) Schaumburg at (3) Hononegah
(19) Buffalo Grove at (14) Moline
(27) Chicago Mount Carmel at (6) Glenbard West
(22) Andrew at (11) St. Rita
Class 6A
Smallest school in the field: Chatham Glenwood
Largest school in the field: Willowbrook
New team in field: None
Team out of field: None
North Bracket
(16) Crystal Lake Central at (1) Prairie Ridge
(9) Cary-Grove at (8) Chicago Mather
(13) St. Ignatius at (4) Riverside-Brookfield
(12) Montini at (5) Hoffman Estates
(15) Lake Forest at (2) Nazareth
(10) De La Salle at (7) DeKalb
(14) Marmion at (3) Rockford Auburn
(11) Grayslake North at (6) Willowbrook
South Bracket
(16) Hinsdale South at (1) Crete-Monee
(9) Blue Island Eisenhower at (8) Danville
(13) Chicago Hubbard at (4) St. Laurence
(12) T.F. South at (5) Oak Lawn Richards
(15) Springfield at (2) Normal Community West
(10) Providence Catholic at (7) Chatham Glenwood
(14) Peoria at (3) Shepard
(11) Quincy at (6) Sacred Heart Griffin
Class 5A
Smallest school in the field: Rochelle
Largest school in the field: St. Viator
New teams in field: Rochelle (was in 4A), Woodstock Marian (win over Niles Notre Dame gets them in)
Teams out of field: Burlington Central (out on points), Oak Forest (tough road to five wins)
North Bracket
(16) Woodstock Marian at (1) Chicago Phillips
(9) Chicago Phoenix at (8) Chicago Solorio Academy
(13) Westinghouse at (4) Chicago Payton
(12) Kaneland at (5) Lake Villa Lakes
(15) St. Viator at (2) Sterling
(10) Rochelle at (7) Chicago Back of the Yards
(14) Glenbard South at (3) Antioch
(11) Woodstock North at (6) Chicago Lindblom
South Bracket
(16) Peoria Notre Dame at (1) Dunlap
(9) Morton at (8) Rich Central
(13) Peoria Richwoods at (4) Washington
(12) Tinley Park at (5) Hillcrest
(15) Chicago Morgan Park at (2) Lemont
(10) Marion at (7) Centralia
(14) Streator at (3) Triad
(11) Mahomet-Seymour at (6) Decatur MacArthur
note: revisions have been made to 4A thru 1A as of Tuesday 825PM CST
Class 4A
Largest team in field: Highland
Smallest team in field: Watseka
New teams in field: Watseka (was in 3A), Kewanee (was in 3A), Chicago (Urban Prep Bronzeville) (can’t figure out one of these CPL leagues for the life of me)
Teams removed from field: Rochelle (now in 5A), Julian (another shift in the CPL conference), Mount Zion (points issues).
Northern Bracket
(16) Chicago Urban Prep-Englewood at (1) Johnsburg
(9) Coal City at (8) Rock Island Alleman
(13) Norridge Ridgewood at (4) Morris
(12) Richmond-Burton at (5) Genoa-Kingston
(15) Wheaton Academy at (2) Dixon
(10) Manteno at (7) Elmwood Park
(14) Kewanee at (3) Chicago Raby
(11) Chicago Agricultural Science at (6) Chicago Urban Prep-Bronzeville
Southern Bracket
(16) Benton at (1) Herscher
(9) Watseka at (8) Belleville Althoff
(13) Paris at (4) Highland
(12) Pontiac at (5) Herrin
(15) Prairie Central at (2) Tolono Unity
(10) Carterville at (7) Effingham
(14) Quincy Notre Dame at (3) Rochester
(11) Columbia at (6) Taylorville
Class 3A
Largest team in the field: Wood River (East Alton)
Smallest team in the field: Pana
New teams in the field: Pana (was in 2A), Farmington (was in 2A).
Teams removed from field: Watseka (now in 4A), Kewanee (now in 4A).
Northern Bracket
(16) Winnebago at (1) Farmington
(9) Elmwood at (8) Peotone
(13) Paxton at (4) IC Catholic
(12) Bloomington Central Catholic at (5) Decatur St. Teresa
(15) Spring Valley Hall at (2) Williamsville
(10) Eureka at (7) Wilmington
(14) Poplar Grove North Boone at (3) Byron
(11) Beardstown at (6) Monticello
Southern Bracket
(16) Harrisburg at (1) Fairfield
(9) Wood River (East Alton) at (8) DuQuoin
(13) Greenville at (4) Pana
(12) Hillsboro at (5) Sesser-Valier
(15) West Frankfort at (2) Carlinville
(10) Pleasant Plains at (7) Alton Marquette
(14) Marshall at (3) Anna-Jonesboro
(11) Vandalia at (6) Newton
Class 2A
Largest school in field: Trenton Wesclin
Smallest school in field: Carlyle
New teams in field: Red Bud (big win over Columbia).
Teams removed from field: Farmington (now in 3A)
Northern Bracket
(16) Aurora Christian at (1) Sterling Newman
(9) Sciota West Prairie at (8) Chicago Hope Academy
(13) Bureau Valley at (4) Orion
(12) Chicago Marshall at (5) Clifton Central
(15) Pearl City (Eastland) at (2) Gibson City-Melvin Sibley
(10) Chicago Orr at (7) Fieldcrest
(14) Rockford Christian at (3) Rockridge
(11) Savanna West Carroll at (6) Knoxville
Southern Bracket
(16) Auburn at (1) Hamilton West Hancock
(9) Carmi White County at (8) Bismarck-Henning
(13) Red Bud at (4) Tri-Valley
(12) Illini West at (5) Maroa-Forsyth
(15) Deer Creek Mackinaw at (2) Trenton Wesclin
(10) Carlyle at (7) Shelbyville
(14) Bunker Hill at (3) Westville
(11) Villa Grove at (6) Eldorado
Class 1A
Largest School in field: Tuscola
New teams in field: Pleasant Hill (Brown County upset gets them in), Triopia (I’ll be honest, throwing darts in the WIVC right now).
Teams removed from field: Kirkland Hiawatha (points problems), Hardin Calhoun (points issues).
Northern Bracket
(16) Orangeville at (1) Lena-Winslow
(9) Milledgeville at (8) Dakota
(13) Cuba North Fulton at (4) Princeville
(12) Fisher at (5) Freeport Aquin
(15) Stark County at (2) Kewanee Wethersfield
(10) Abingdon at (7) Ottawa Marquette
(14) Salt Fork at (3) Forreston
(11) Fulton at (6) Stockton
Southern Bracket
(16) Chester at (1) Tuscola
(9) Toledo Cumberland at (8) Brown County
(13) Moweaqua Central A&M at (4) Argenta-Oreana
(12) Madison at (5) Athens
(15) Pleasant Hill at (2) Red Hill
(10) Warrensburg-Latham at (7) Arcola
(14) Concord Triopia at (3) Carrollton
(11) Camp Point Central at (6) Decatur Lutheran
