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MMXXIV Edition - CCL-ESCC Predictions Week XI

ignazio

Well-Known Member
Oct 25, 2007
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Oh what a beautiful day!


SCN @ MC Sat 11/9 5pm
[projection and percent chances to win: Mount Carmel (Chicago, IL) 42 (90%) St. Charles North (St. Charles, IL) 21 (10%)]
LA @ Marist Sat 11/9 1:30pm
[projection and percent chances to win: Loyola Academy (Wilmette, IL) 27 (62%) Marist (Chicago, IL) 21 (38%)]
SR @ Willowbrook Fri 11/8 7pm
[projection and percent chances to win: St. Rita (Chicago, IL) 35 (90%) Willowbrook (Villa Park, IL) 14 (10%)]
Woodstock North @ Naz Sat 11/9 1pm
[projection and percent chances to win: Nazareth Academy (LaGrange Park, IL) 62 (>99%) Woodstock North (Woodstock, IL) 3 (<1%)]
Prairie Ridge @ SF Sat 11/9 1pm
[projection and percent chances to win: St. Francis (Wheaton, IL) 40 (93%) Prairie Ridge (Crystal Lake, IL) 17 (7%)]
JC @ SHG Sat 11/9 2pm
[projection and percent chances to win: Joliet Catholic Academy (Joliet, IL) 40 (98%) Sacred Heart-Griffin (Springfield, IL) 6 (2%)]
Geneseo @ DP Sat 11/9 1pm
[projection and percent chances to win: DePaul College Prep (Chicago, IL) 40 (93%) Geneseo (IL) 17 (7%)]
BA @ Rochelle Fri 11/8 7pm
[projection and percent chances to win: Rochelle (IL) 41 (81%) Benet Academy (Lisle, IL) 27 (19%)]
WA @ SL Sat 11/9 1pm
[projection and percent chances to win: St. Laurence (Burbank, IL) 24 (57%) Wheaton Academy (West Chicago, IL) 22 (43%)]
Byron @ MCHS Sat 11/9 1pm
[projection and percent chances to win: Montini Catholic (Lombard, IL) 27 (53%) Byron (IL) 26 (47%)]
F @ DGN Sat 11/9 1pm
[projection and percent chances to win: Downers Grove North (Downers Grove, IL) 28 (87%) Fenwick (Oak Park, IL) 10 (13%)]

Prep Bowl Playoffs:
Marian, Heights @ CoM Fri 11/8 6pm
playoffs (neutral field)[2024] Carmel (Mundelein, IL) 38 (95%), [2024] Marian Catholic (Chicago Heights, IL) 13 (5%)
 
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Mount Carmel 38 (-21) Saint Charles North 14: Very nice season for SCN, but like many nice seasons in the past for many squads, they die at the hands of the Caravan.

Marist 24 (+6) Loyola 23: GOTW! This has the makings to be a classic. Both teams are playing very well and both have done essentially the same against common opponents. I'm taking the RedHawks in a thriller that comes down to the wire!

Saint Rita 37 (-21) Willowbrook 6: This is just a bad matchup for Willowbrook. Ponies march on without much effort

Nazareth 56 Woodstock North 7 (-59): Great season Thunder! Don't let this thrashing that Naz will deliver take anything away from it.

Saint Francis 34 Prairie Ridge 13 (+23): Samson Evans is not walking through the tunnel to save PR.

Joliet Catholic 42 (-34) @ Sacred Heart Griffin 7: Don't look now, but JCA has a very favorable path to BloNo.

DePaul 36 Geneseo 24 (+23): I think Geneseo will keep things kind of interesting early, but DePaul's skill players will slowly exert their will

Rochelle 38 Benet 34 (+14): Rochelle finally takes on a CCL team with real firepower. The Hubs hang on, but it will be a battle to the bitter end

Saint Laurence 31 (-2) Wheaton Academy 26: Another excellent matchup here. Larry's seems to be healthy and I have to stand by my word in that I believe that they will be around a few weeks into November.

Montini 33 (-1) Byron 29: Oh baby! This game has been spoken into existence! I am so excited for the debates about public vs. private and the multiplier discussions after this game!

Downers Grove North 37 Fenwick 24 (+18): Fenwick will not be startled in the slightest by DGN, but DGN has played at a level that has just been the next tier above Fenwick. I do think the Friars keep it in striking distance headed into the 4th.


Prep Bowl Playoffs:

Carmel 27 Marian 7 (+25):
There will be absolutely 0 juice for this game. Carmel is bitterly disappointed and Heights has to take a stupid long drive.
 
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Prep Bowl Playoffs:

Carmel 27 Marian 7 (+25):
There will be absolutely 0 juice for this game. Carmel is bitterly disappointed and Heights has to take a stupid long drive.
Not just long - more like eternal. About 25 years ago, my plumber was the volunteer videographer for the Corsairs. He hated driving to thr far south suburbs - especially on a Friday, He had to take a full day's vacation.
 
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I foresee Catholic eyes will be a-smiling this weekend (other than those Catholics that have the unfortunate task of facing...other Catholics).

SCN +21 vs MC. Stars beat Geneva by 14. Geneva beat Batavia by 23. Batavia is on the level of MC. And yes, I am completely ignoring the fact that SCN itself lost to Batavia by 24. Logic need not apply here. Caravan 35-23.

LA -6 vs Marist. This is going to be a classic. Loyola's defense seems to be on a different level right now and I think that makes the difference here. Ramblers 17-10.

Rita -21 vs Willowbrook. The Warriors have had a nice season. They haven't faced anything on the level of St. Rita. I don't think this one will be particular close. Mustangs 45-7.

Woodstock North +59 vs Naz. Woodstock North has an overly unimpressive schedule. Naz has another 'bye' week. Roadrunners 56-6.

Prairie Ridge +23 vs SF. I think this one is tight until the 4th. WSF 35-21.

SHG +34 vs JCA. Our CCL step-brother Cyclones. They had a very nice win last week vs Mahomet Seymour. Unfortunately, they are running into a juggernaut. Hilltoppers 42-14.

DePaul -23 vs Geneseo. Wish this game was at Geneseo. Cool gameday atmosphere. This one won't be close. Rams 49-14.

Benet +14 vs Rochelle. Very interested in this one. Benet has had some absolute stinkers this year but also some very nice wins (Moline, DePaul). Rochelle is solid but hasn't faced the toughest schedule. I wouldn't be shocked to see Benet pull off the upset here so will go for it. Redwings 35-34.

StL -2 vs WA. All depends on the health of the Vikes! I'll trust they are healthy and give them the win here. 24-17 Vikings.

Montini -1 vs Byron. GOTW. State Championship in round 2? Absolutely cannot wait for this one. I've trusted the Broncos' defense all year and won't stray from that now. Montini 21-20.

Fenwick +18 vs DGN. Friars coming off a huge win last week. Surprised to see this spread so big given what Fenwick showed. I think they can keep this one within two TDs. DGN 35-21.

Marian +25 vs CoM. Will come down to "motivation". Spartans will use the long bus ride to get motivate, or something. But won't be quite enough. Corsairs 30-21.
 
SCN @ MC
I will take the point with Chuck North. Chuck can chuck it and MC has given up some point via the pass this year.
LA @ Marist
Ramblers are rambling right now, they cover.
SR @ Willowbrook
'Stangs cover in this one.
Woodstock North @ Naz
The Roadtucs roll but that's a lot of points, give them to me.
PR @ SF
The Wolves cover in this one. They will control the ball enough to keep Sparty from covering.
JCA @ SHG
SHG and the points, long trip for JCA and they win but not by 34.
Geneseo @ DP
DCP gives it to them from all angles and rolls, they cover.
BA @ Rochelle
Hubs cover, Redwings won't stop them.
WA @ STL
Larry covers in this one, I hear they are getting healthy.
Byron @ MCHS
Bronco covers on way to 3A title.
F @ DGN
I'll take F and the points, but DGN wins the game.
Marian @ CoM
Carmel covers
 
Special Teams, Special Teams and Special Teams will be a factor in Round 2. For example, i cannot believe how many teams cannot effectively punt the football or tackle on KO coverage.

SCN 21

Marist 6 More Heart than head here.

SR 21

Woodstock North 59

SF -23

JC -34

DP -23

Rochelle -14


Wheaton A 2

Montini -1

F 18

Prep Bowl Playoffs:
Marian, Heights 25
 
SCN +21
Loyola -6
Willowbrook +21
Woodstock north +59
SF -23
SHG +34
Depaul -23
Rochelle -14
Wheaton academy +2
Montini -1
DGN -18
Marian +25
 
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SCN +21
Marist ML (+6)
Rita -21
Woodstock +59
Francis -23
SHG +34
DePaul -23
Benet ML (+14)
St. Laurence -2
Montini -1
Friar +18

Marian +25
 
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SCN +21 MC 28 SCN 21
Loyola -6 Loyola 21 Marist 7
Willowbrook +21 St.Rita 28 Willowbrook 14
Woodstock +59 Naz 49 Woodstock 0
PR +23 St. Francis 28 PR 17
SHG +34 JCA 35 SHG 7
DePaul -23 DePaul 35 Geneseo 7
Benet +14 Rochelle 35 Benet 31
Larry -2 St. Laurence 38 Wheaton Academy 34
Montini -1 Montini 28 Byron 14
DGN -18 DGN 35 Fenwick 14

Carmel -25 Carmel 42 Marian 14
 
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