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JCA / Naz

I think the Massey line is a fair line. No way Naz is anywhere close to a favorite in this game. Barely won in the regular season and its going to be cold and windy on Saturday.
 
I think the Massey line is a fair line. No way Naz is anywhere close to a favorite in this game. Barely won in the regular season and its going to be cold and windy on Saturday.
And so it begins.....the over/under on the tuccs line is Naz +21 by game time.
 
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Eh its already Wednesday I don't see it moving much more. Definitely going to be Naz getting points though.
 
You did get a late start this week, but the tuccs line does tend to be very fluid.
 
Real talk though for a second because it is a genuine question and not false confidence but true curiosity....

We know JCA we know what they want to do and how they want to do it. QB is going to jog over to coach after every play and take as much time away from Naz as possible while running the same offense they have ran for decades. Given the fact these two teams already met and with Naz being shorthanded in that game the question I have is just adding #7 back is a wrinkle enough for Naz to throw at JCA this next time but what is it that JCA can do to create a wrinkle for Naz to adjust to this time?

Like Naz can easily change up routes or how many receivers they put to a side, JCA can split out a guy if they want but everyone and their mother knows the ball is going to one of the backs. Unless they have secretly been working on a passing attack offense all season long only to be pulled out in week 14 I seriously wonder what it is that JCA can change or do to try to throw naz off.
 
This game is gonna be a battle, with the cold and snow in the forecast I would not argue with anyone that has JCA as the favorite.

I’ll take Naz moneyline though.
 
The JC QB is more than capable of making throws, I wouldn’t underestimate their ability to lull Naz asleep with the run then sneak in and make completions.
 
Excellent question, tuccs.
That by no means again was a knock on JCA just a genuine question on what we think JCA can or will try to do this time around. Or as Irish just said that cold and snow and their ground game may just be enough.
 
I have no doubt they will try to throw and also have seen the QB complete passes. So while I know they can "play with their left hand" for a play or two, is it something they can do consistently enough to keep Naz honest? How many games have they had to play from behind and won this season? Is that maybe a huge key to the game for Naz? get a stop early go up two scores and just keep the status quo? JCA has a great defense probably one of the best Naz has seen all year but they will have another pretty decent weapon to cover this time. I look at the MC game and say oh man they did a good job against that O and those weapons but then I remember that was against a really beat up Elliot so that could have played a large role in that success.

There are only two guarantees from me right now and that is 1. Both teams are the best in 5a by a long way and deserve to be there saturday. 2. my wife has 911 on speed dial for when JCA scores their first TD and I naturally go into cardiac arrest thinking the world is coming to an end and Naz is going to lose by 100.
 
This game is gonna be a battle, with the cold and snow in the forecast I would not argue with anyone that has JCA as the favorite.

I’ll take Naz moneyline though.
Only way JC is favored is if the wind exceeds 50 mph AND there is driving rain or snow.

Anything short of that and Naz is favored by 7-14.

Sorry tuccs, you have finally run into a fanbase that may be better at Lou Holtzing things than you are.

But in all seriousness, I would not consider JC favorites unless conditions were near as outrageously bad as listed above.
 
Real talk though for a second because it is a genuine question and not false confidence but true curiosity....

We know JCA we know what they want to do and how they want to do it. QB is going to jog over to coach after every play and take as much time away from Naz as possible while running the same offense they have ran for decades. Given the fact these two teams already met and with Naz being shorthanded in that game the question I have is just adding #7 back is a wrinkle enough for Naz to throw at JCA this next time but what is it that JCA can do to create a wrinkle for Naz to adjust to this time?

Like Naz can easily change up routes or how many receivers they put to a side, JCA can split out a guy if they want but everyone and their mother knows the ball is going to one of the backs. Unless they have secretly been working on a passing attack offense all season long only to be pulled out in week 14 I seriously wonder what it is that JCA can change or do to try to throw naz off.
Fair question. Though to truly understand an answer, you can't just look at JC's offense as run left, run right, even though that's what it may appear like from the outside. There are lots of subtle adjustments in the counter game, pulling and trapping of different linemen, formation alignment, implementation of the screen game, changing who kicks out between a pulling guard or fullback, etc.

In the same way that a team like Naz may make a subtle adjustment to a route combination that makes all the difference in hitting a big play, JC can make a subtle adjustment to their blocking scheme to hit a big play.

I know it looks more caveman like (remember the guy who declared them schematically extinct a decade and a couple state titles ago?) than Naz's multipronged attack, but the common refrain even from our own faithful of "you're not making adjustments" is often less than informed in that adjustments actually are being made. That said, if the conditions are at all conducive to throwing the ball Saturday, I am sure JC will have to have some wrinkles in their pass game. They have improved that element of their offense quite a bit the last 7-8 weeks.
 
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Only way JC is favored is if the wind exceeds 50 mph AND there is driving rain or snow.

Anything short of that and Naz is favored by 7-14.

Sorry tuccs, you have finally run into a fanbase that may be better at Lou Holtzing things than you are.

But in all seriousness, I would not consider JC favorites unless conditions were near as outrageously bad as listed above.
So in other words the conditions the night Naz lost to Mt Carmel in the 2019 title?
 
As far as the weather, if you recall, the first JCA/Naz meeting was played in 30+ mph winds. If it's just cold on Saturday morning, that won't impact the Naz offense as much as the winds from that first meeting.
 
I’m still sitting on my initial call Naz-6. I’m back baby and trying to round up the rest of the Insane Naz Posse!
JCA's best chance may be the possibility of extending the Jwar jinx (after you picked St Francis) another week.
 
As far as the weather, if you recall, the first JCA/Naz meeting was played in 30+ mph winds. If it's just cold on Saturday morning, that won't impact the Naz offense as much as the winds from that first meeting.
The wind the first meeting was from the hurricane - it blew straight south non stop. No scores from either team at the north end zone.
 
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JCA's best chance may be the possibility of extending the Jwar jinx (after you picked St Francis) another week.
Hey my initial prediction was right, then I did too much math factoring to much information into the equation that really didn’t apply. This week it’s the weather, but I’m not going to change this time, no more self inflicted whammies!

PS I was 6-1 last week
 
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