8A/7A/6A cutline - week 8 projection

[GEPreps]

Updated with Week 7 win/loss results (still week 6 pts)

There are still a number of games left for bubble teams where there is not a prohibitive favorite, but one needs to guess at a winner for a specific scenario, so YMMV.
--

Bold - Clinched (6 wins or 5 wins with 25+ points)
Italic - teams with "pick'em" games

Assuming five wins in NIC-10 (40 points) gets into playoffs
--

01 5017 Curie
02 4275 Warren (4 - VH, LZ) 37 pts
03 4061 New Trier
04 3960 Lyons
05 3858 Neuqua Valley
06 3840 Stevenson (4 - ZB, Mund) 34 pts
__ 3831 Lane (4 - Curie, playoff) 20 pts
__ 3675 West Aurora (4 - GE, MV) 23 pts
07 3560 Bolingbrook (4 - Lockport, H-F) 28 pts
08 3413 Loyola Academy
__ 3340 Leyden (3 - Morton, Willow) 23 pts
09 3245 Sandburg
10 3239 OPRF
11 3125 Joliet West (3 - Stagg, Lock) 27 pts
__ 3124 Bloom Twp (3 - CM, RE) 34 pts
12 3079 Evanston (5 - W, MS) 26 pts
13 3052 Barrington
14 2888 Naperville Central
__ 2828 Glenbrook South (3 - NT, Wa) 29 pts
15 2784 South Elgin
16 2778 Hinsdale Central
__ 2751 Metea Valley (3 - GN, WA) 29 pts
17 2747 Huntley
18 2742 Marist
19 2722 Brother Rice
20 2714 Homewood-Flossmoor
21 2694 Fremd
__ 2689 York (3 - DGN, LT) 36 pts
22 2655 Palatine
__ 2654 Lake Park (3 - NV, NC) 29 pts
23 2603 Oswego
__ 2584 Bartlett (3 - Str, GE)
24 2583 Notre Dame
25 2579 Plainfield South (4 - PC, Os) 27 pts
26 2527 Waubonsie Valley (5 - NN, WN) 24 pts
__ 2512 St. Charles East (3 - SCN, AE) 29 pts
27 2504 Belleville East
__ 2491 Minooka (4 - Os, PN) 20 pts
__ 2473 O'Fallon (3 - BE, ESL) 29 pts
28 2369 Glenbard East (4 - WA, Bart) 30 pts
29 2355 Edwardsville
30 2351 Conant
31 2338 Maine South
32 2311 Simeon (5 - Taft, playoff) 22 pts

--- 8A/7A Cut -----------

__ 2308 Schaumburg (4 - Pal, Fremd) 32 pts
__ 2286 Schurz (not top 2 in Big Shoulders)
01 2283 Glenbard West
__ 2279 Oswego East (4 - Minooka, Romeo) 21 points
02 2257 Lincoln Park
03 2256 Glenbard North
04 2231 Plainfield North
05 2204 Mt. Carmel
06 2199 Benet
07 2187 Jacobs (5 - CLS, McH) 24 pts
__ 2184 Carmel (3 - MCC, ND) 34 pts
08 2182 Belleville West (3 - GC, Alton) 27 pts
__ 2159 Downers Grove North (3 - York, PW) 28 pts
09 2153 Lincoln-Way East
__ 2133 Wheaton North (3 - NC, WV) 30 pts
__ 2130 Niles North (4 - GBN, HP) 24 pts
__ 2122 Moline (3 - EMU, NU) 26 pts
10 2099 Harlem
11 2083 Hononegah
__ 2068 Mundelein (4 - Lv, S) 22 pts
12 2041 Bradley-Bourbonnais
__ 2037 Maine West (3 - Deer, GBN)
__ 2026 Addison Trail (3 - PE, GW) 30 pts
13 2023 Glenbrook North
__ 2012 Pekin (4 - Met, Lime) 29 pts
14 2003 Normal Community
15 2001 St. Charles North (5 - STE, Elg) 23 pts
__ 1993 Lake Zurich (3 - LF, War)
16 1990 Batavia
__ 1983 Streamwood (3 - Bartlett, Batavia) 22 pts
__ 1970 Fenwick (3 - Montini, SF)
17 1969 Libertyville
18 1960 Geneva
19 1958 Whitney Young
__ 1946 Hersey (4 - Wheeling, RollMead) 22 pts
__ 1940 Willowbrook (4 - DGS, Ley) 20 pts
20 1904 Rolling Meadows (4 - BG, Her) 18 pts
21 1880 Rockford Auburn
__ 1869 Lincoln-Way Central (4 - LWN, Thornton) 34 pts
22 1837 Eisenhower
23 1831 Reavis
__ 1814 Thornton Fractional South (3 - Hillcrest, TP) 35 pts
24 1803 Cary-Grove
25 1797 Thornton
__ 1795 Quincy (4 - Gales, QND)
26 1761 Shepard (3 - Argo, Bremen) 26 pts
27 1759 Crystal Lake South
28 1736 Rock Island (4 - Rock Alleman, Ypsil, MI) 27 pts
29 1718 Lincoln-Way North
30 1685 Hubbard (5 - MP, Playoff) 21 pts
31 1674 Lake Forest (3 - LZ, ZB) 27 pts
__ 1671 Rockford Guilford (3 - Aub, Hon)
32 1657 Richards (4 - EGP, OL) 32 pts


--- 7A/6A cut -----------------------

01 1196 Sacred Heart-Griffin *
02 1130 Montini *

__ 1641 De La Salle (3 - StF, BMac) 36 pts
03 1640 DeKalb
04 1628 Yorkville (3 - DeK, Ott) 33 pts
05 1608 Normal Community West (4 - Peo, Bloomgton) 29 pts
06 1606 Deerfield (4 - MW, ME) 20 pts

 

[GEPreps]

nm

 

[chuck998]

Nice work and thanks for doing this. As a GW fan, I'd like to see them in 8A. I can't see any way that both HF and Loyola get beat before Thanksgiving, so the only way GW gets from #3 to #1 is to beat one or both of these teams. No disrespect to other 7A teams, it's just that Libertyville and the other powers in 7A aren't ranked above GW.

That said, and short of a fifty kids moving out of Simeon, can anyone suggest how GW might find itself in 8A with a shot at #1?

 

[jdhitters]

I think Loyola and HF would have to be close and GBW would have to dominate playoffs. Alternatively, There will be a few 8A teams from WSC that will be in playoffs, so you can see how HF and Loyola match up against those teams if they play and compare it to GBW victories over same.

 

[GEPreps]

That said, and short of a fifty kids moving out of Simeon, can anyone suggest how GW might find itself in 8A with a shot at #1?

Sure, it can happen if any 8A bubble team above that is projected in 8A ends up losing and none of the bubble out teams have big upset wins.
--
Such bubble in teams having an upset loss could be :

Bolingbrook loses to Lockport.
Joliet West loses to Lockport or Stagg.
Plainfield South loses to Plainfield Central (and Oswego as predicted).
Glenbard East loses to Bartlett.

 

[chuck998]

Sure, it can happen if any 8A bubble team above that is projected in 8A ends up losing and none of the bubble out teams have big upset wins.
--
Such bubble in teams having an upset loss could be :

Bolingbrook loses to Lockport.
Joliet West loses to Lockport or Stagg.
Plainfield Central loses to Plainfield Central (and Oswego as predicted).
Glenbard East loses to Bartlett.

Ok thanks. Those are all excellent opportunities. Fingers crossed. Let's all meet at GEPreps house on Oct. 24 for a bracket party...lol!

 

[GEPreps]

As a GW fan, I'd like to see them in 8A. I can't see any way that both HF and Loyola get beat before Thanksgiving, so the only way GW gets from #3 to #1 is to beat one or both of these teams. No disrespect to other 7A teams, it's just that Libertyville and the other powers in 7A aren't ranked above GW./QUOTE]

It would be great for GW to win 8A, but that said, I would rather end the season with another 7A title than a possible loss in an 8A semi-final.

I would like to see a Glenbard West v Glenbard North playoff game.

Glenbard West v Libertyville would be a nice 7A title game.

 

[chuck998]

It would be great for GW to win 8A, but that said, I would rather end the season with another 7A title than a possible loss in an 8A semi-final.

Glenbard West v Libertyville would be a nice 7A title game.

I'd be ok with that, if the 8A game were Barrington/Edwardsville...lol.

 

[capnbillhitters]

Wow. Not nearly as clear as before. We will go wherever they tell us to go, and play whomever. This team is on a roll and has all the weapons needed to play the best. Battle tested and boldly playing their best ball through the gauntlet we just faced.

Now the fun starts

 

[GEPreps]

bump

 

[jdhitters]

Cap, I fear you have been reading too many Golden Domer posts. Let's get the job done and when we get back to GE drinking beer and eating leftover turkey sandwiches we can trash talk to our heart's content.

 

[capnbillhitters]

Cap, I fear you have been reading too many Golden Domer posts. Let's get the job done and when we get back to GE drinking beer and eating leftover turkey sandwiches we can trash talk to our heart's content.

I believe I said we are on a roll, has all the tools and will be ready to play whomever...I have no fear of 8A. Always nice to measure yourself against the best. Last year we came within 5 yards of the best. I think this team might be even better than last year.

You bring the turkey sandwiches, I'll bring the turkey gumbo.

 

[jdhitters]

I believe I said we are on a roll, has all the tools and will be ready to play whomever...I have no fear of 8A. Always nice to measure yourself against the best. Last year we came within 5 yards of the best. I think this team might be even better than last year.

You bring the turkey sandwiches, I'll bring the turkey gumbo.

You doing gumbo after proviso west?

 

[capnbillhitters]

You doing gumbo after proviso west?

Depends on the weather but anything is possible

 

[Cross Bones]

Depends on the weather but anything is possible

Gumbo?

 

[capnbillhitters]

Gumbo?

Gumbo works best in cold weather.

Marrying a gal with New Orleans cooking skills was a clutch move.

 

[goomsback]

Well done GW, 2 things:

1. Lincoln Park hasn't quite qualified yet. Young and Lincoln Park are in the same conference and Young won handily. (Mind you, they are the favorites to finish 2nd)

2. We're assuming East St. Louis stays on strike here? Because They have to be in 7A if they get in,...

 

[GEPreps]

Gooms,

1. Assumption is that LP will beat 0-7 Roosevelt next week and will have 6 wins and finish 2nd in CPL Chicago (Big Shoulders).

2. Assumption is that ESL will not be in the IHSA playoffs.It just makes more sense now with two forfeits and two weeks remaining in regular season to not include ESL.

 

[Hinterland]

GEPreps, did you do this exercise for all of Class 6A as well, or only for the few teams listed? I guess I am asking because of my interest in following this class as well (and 5A for that matter). Regardless, thanks for your effort put into this, This is indeed the part of the season which starts to get especially interesting for me.

 

[GEPreps]

I can give it a shot later, but I will ask you to pick the winners in the bubble games, in a follow up post, to complete a scenario.

 

[Hinterland]

Thanks, and I'll give it my best shot!

 

[goomsback]

bump