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Hersey @ Batavia

This weather suuuucks! Which of these teams is a running team? That’s the team who wins.
And the better defense. Unless you are a bombardier team that relies on the long passes you can still be fine in high winds with short routes, same as runs. Defense wins in November!
 
Long time MSL Fan but the MSL East hasn't beat a good team in the playoffs in a long time.
Prospect had a great draw last year and RM had a great draw in 2019.
The East struggles when they play a good team in the playoffs.
They usually get beat or destroyed.
 
All the speed with Hersey and no attempt to work to the edge of the field in 2nd Q with 3/ inches and 4/inches. Agree with going for it, but gotta play to your strengths.....
 
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What a crazy sequence - Batavia elects to go for it on 4th down. Looked like he got in but officials ruled no - Hersey ball still tied at 13
 
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What are the chances the Upstate 8 expands?
I think they have to. The closed conference is not working. Other than South Elgin and 1-2 of the Glenbards it is really bad football. I’ve been hearing some of the MSL east schools want to bail due to lack of success. That would be a great place for them to land.
 
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What are the chances the Upstate 8 expands?
Sorry in advance for this long answer...but this is the Million Dollar Question, and there's no EASY answer for it. I've read these types of questions/comments on here for months and I've been reluctant to reply, but here are my convoluted thoughts:

1) Expansion looks great on paper, and in football it just might be, but what would it do for the other 27 sports? Adding DeKalb (as was discussed years ago) makes for a terrible Tuesday Night VB game between Fenton and DeKalb.

2) Who do you add?

*Riverside-Brookfield? - Yes! But that doesn't "move the needle" for South Elgin's playoff hopes (or GBE's). And it would leave an odd number of teams.

*West Aurora? - Yes! But no needle movement there either (playing West Aurora won't help South Elgin get past Maine South, Marist or Brother Rice...their only losses in the last 4 seasons).

*MSL East Schools? Yes and no! Hersey and Prospect help the conference. Elk Grove, Wheeling, BG and the new RM regime do not. Look at those drive times for a sophomore baseball game too...

3) SE, GBE would benefit from a non-con schedule of 1-2 games, but finding those games is not easy and I remember when South Elgin had to shame St. Viator on Twitter into playing during the COVID year. Who's to say finding a "worthy opponent" would be easy? Then you have to look at the bottom of the conference, who would they find non-con? CPS schools (how does that help?) or Maine East/Round Lake? This isn't an easy fix for 10-12 schools and 1-2 games each.

4) GBE was within 2 points of Minooka this year, and SE has been to the 2nd round each of the last 3 playoff seasons. GBS generally wins one playoff game (this school is the underachiever if you look at sheer talent). Can anyone expect Larkin, Elgin or Bartlett to be competitive in the 7A or 8A playoffs? No disrespect intended, but those schools would struggle even if they played better "non-con" opponents. I have theories as to why but that's for another time.

5) Every conference has good and bad teams (granted some more then others) and there has been a lack of playoff success from many schools that are touted on this board. The idea that a tougher conference would help SE or GBE win state is slightly overrated.

For example, how many state championships have been won in football by the following 8A schools (historically)?

York
Hinsdale Central (played for one)
Lyons Township
Neuqua Valley
Waubonsie Valley
St. Charles East
Marist (played for two)
Palatine (played for two)
Fremd
Barrington (played for one)
Oswego
Oswego East
O'Fallon
Glenbrook South
Evanston
New Trier
Huntley

The answer is zero.

That's not intended as a shot at any of those schools, or even comparing their current football team to any Upstate Eight team, but the fact is they have NEVER won a state title and play in "better" conferences, with better non-con schedules.

6) Since 2008 (Hinsdale Centrals last attempt at a State title) there have been 13 state champions, and 26 teams in the 8A finals. Here's how it stacks up:

Loyola - 6 trips
Maine South - 5 trips
LWE - 3 trips
Mt. Carmel - 2 trips
Marist - 2 trips
Brother Rice - 1 trip
Warren - 1 trip
HF - 1 trip
Stevenson - 1 trip
Bolingbrook - 1 trip
and a few others but sporadic.

My point is; the wealth lies at the very top. ONLY A SELECT few schools are in the hunt in 8A, yet talk is always about strength of conference and non-cons.

I would love to see a discussion about these points. They're not Hersey/Batavia focused but worth talking about.
 
SE, I agree with a lot of what you said, especially that there is no easy answer. Both SE and GBE are on the right track imo to getting to the next level.

2.) Expansion - If you expand and split, you probably have SE and GBE/GBS on opposite divisions (unless you split divs by football strength, which I think is more attractive), which splitting doesn’t help.

Who? I don’t know about West Aurora, but Riverside-Brookside could make some sense. Not sure on other.

3.) Non-Conf - I agree 100% SE and GBE benefit and this is what I think these programs really need, but I disagree with your assessment that these 2 teams + GBS would have an issue finding quality opponents. I think the WSC and DuKane conference would absolutely love to schedule SE and GBE. That’s a game against a quality opponent that boosts playoff points, helps prepare teams for conf, and upper DuKane teams would still be favored.

Edit: Looking at DuKane teams Non-Conference opponents, this conference isn’t scared of scheduling anyone. SE and GBE fit perfectly for just about any of the Dukane teams.
 
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SE, I agree with a lot of what you said, especially that there is no easy answer. Both SE and GBE are on the right track imo to getting to the next level.

2.) Expansion - If you expand and split, you probably have SE and GBE/GBS on opposite divisions (unless you split divs by football strength, which I think is more attractive), which splitting doesn’t help.

Who? I don’t know about West Aurora, but Riverside-Brookside could make some sense. Not sure on other.

3.) Non-Conf - I agree 100% SE and GBE benefit, but I disagree with your assessment that these 2 teams + GBS would have an issue finding quality opponents. I think the WSC and DuKane conference would absolutely love to schedule SE and GBE. That’s a game against a quality opponent that boosts playoff points, helps prepare teams for conf, and upper DuKane teams would still be favored.

Edit: Looking at DuKane teams Non-Conference opponents, this conference isn’t scared of scheduling anyone. SE and GBE fit perfectly for just about any of the Dukane teams.
You're right! Those teams used to be in the Upstate Eight, but what about the lower level teams in the UEC? Who does Fenton play? West Chicago? I'm thinking across the board...
 
You're right! Those teams used to be in the Upstate Eight, but what about the lower level teams in the UEC? Who does Fenton play? West Chicago? I'm thinking across the board.
Very fair point on thinking across the board.

Those teams are all easy wins if anyone is looking though… I’d wonder if there are many 8A/7A forced to schedule the aforementioned CPS schools that could easily schedule a home and away against West Chicago or Fenton vs scheduling inferior CPS teams??
 
Very fair point on thinking across the board.

Those teams are all easy wins if anyone is looking though… I’d wonder if there are many 8A/7A forced to schedule the aforementioned CPS schools that could easily schedule a home and away against West Chicago or Fenton vs scheduling inferior CPS teams??
1.) South Elgin plays in the DVC Football only
2.) You could schedule WSG conference along with Dukane conference
 
1.) South Elgin plays in the DVC Football only
2.) You could schedule WSG conference along with Dukane conference
1) U-46 Superintendent will not allow the 5 schools to be in separate conferences. Not SE's fault. Most do not know that.

2) What about the rest of the UEC?
 
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1.) South Elgin plays in the DVC Football only
2.) You could schedule WSG conference along with Dukane conference
I love 2. WSG and SCE/Geneva/Lake Park all excellent scheduling options for the “rest” of U8 outside SE/GBE/GS.

Probably need to expand, what teams do you like? If RB is one, I’d like to split conf by strength (football only), have 5 in division games, 2 crossovers, and 2 non-conference.

Division A:
South Elgin
Glenbard East
Glenbard South
Larkin
Riverside-Brookfield
Bartlett

Division B:
Fenton
Elgin
Streamwood
West Chicago
Aurora East
West Aurora?
 
Division A:
South Elgin
Glenbard East
Larkin
Riverside-Brookfield
Bartlett
Glenbard North ? ( This is not a long shot all im gonna say on this)
Glenbard South

Division B:
Fenton
Addison Trail ( They play alot of Upstate 8 teams in non conference games already)
Elgin
Streamwood
West Chicago
Aurora East
Aurora West or Burlington Central
 
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Division A:
South Elgin
Glenbard East
Larkin
Riverside-Brookfield
Bartlett
Glenbard North ? ( This is not a long shot all im gonna say on this)
Glenbard South

Division B:
Fenton
Addison Trail ( They play alot of Upstate 8 teams in non conference games already)
Elgin
Streamwood
West Chicago
Aurora East
Aurora West or Burlington Central
If Glenbard North is in play, I think them and RB and you’re set. GBN is probably a dream add for the upper tier of U8. I don’t think AT and Aurora West add anything once you’re at 12.
 
I love 2. WSG and SCE/Geneva/Lake Park all excellent scheduling options for the “rest” of U8 outside SE/GBE/GS.

Probably need to expand, what teams do you like? If RB is one, I’d like to split conf by strength (football only), have 5 in division games, 2 crossovers, and 2 non-conference.

Division A:
South Elgin
Glenbard East
Glenbard South
Larkin
Riverside-Brookfield
Bartlett

Division B:
Fenton
Elgin
Streamwood
West Chicago
Aurora East
West Aurora?
So in this scenario, several of the "better" teams will not get in, but in the B Division, several of the bad teams will be in the playoffs? That's similar to the Plainfield Conference and that hasn't worked out for anyone except Yorkville. That would be a concern.
 
I love 2. WSG and SCE/Geneva/Lake Park all excellent scheduling options for the “rest” of U8 outside SE/GBE/GS.

Probably need to expand, what teams do you like? If RB is one, I’d like to split conf by strength (football only), have 5 in division games, 2 crossovers, and 2 non-conference.

Division A:
South Elgin
Glenbard East
Glenbard South
Larkin
Riverside-Brookfield
Bartlett

Division B:
Fenton
Elgin
Streamwood
West Chicago
Aurora East
West Aurora?
West Aurora would be undefeated in Division B every year and then we would be back to the "untested" argument with SE, no?
 
West Aurora would be undefeated in Division B every year and then we would be back to the "untested" argument with SE, no?
I think with making Divisions by Football strength, you pull a card from CCL and reshuffle the deck every couple years. West Aurora could slide into Division A and RB or Bartlett etc move down just as example.

With 6/6 split, you can have minimum 2 non conference games against WSC and Dukane to test yourself.
 
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Here’s an example schedule for SE, GBE, Larkin, and West Chicago for example.. two upper tier U8, one middle, and one bottom. Below based on 2 non-conf and 2crossover with RB and West Aurora added.

SE:
Non-Conf: St. Charles N, Glenbard North
Conf: GBE, GBS, Bartlett, Larkin, RB
Crossover: Elgin, West Chicago

GBE:
Non-Conf: Willowbrook, WWS
Conf: SE, GBS, Bartlett, Larkin, RB
Crossover: East Aurora, Streamwood


Larkin:
Non-Conf: Think Larkin would try to find gimmes to help get to 5 wins, so CPS and Leydon maybe?
Conf: GBE, GBS, Bartlett, RB, SE
Crossover: Elgin, West Aurora.

West Chicago:
Non-Conf: St. Charles East, Addison Trail
Conf: Elgin, West Aurora, East Aurora, Streamwood, Fenton
Crossover: SE, Bartlett
 
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I think with making Divisions by Football strength, you pull a card from CCL and reshuffle the deck every couple years. West Aurora could slide into Division A and RB or Bartlett etc move down just as example.

With 6/6 split, you can have minimum 2 non conference games against WSC and Dukane to test yourself.
I like this example. No way someone from the DuKane wants West Chicago on their schedule though.

I like the idea of a deal with the WSG but we're just speculating at this point. My concerns remain, and you can see why...the conference runs the gamut from good to terrible teams. Hard to find an answer that works for all.
 
I like this example. No way someone from the DuKane wants West Chicago on their schedule though.

I like the idea of a deal with the WSG but we're just speculating at this point. My concerns remain, and you can see why...the conference runs the gamut from good to terrible teams. Hard to find an answer that works for all.
I think St Charles East and Lake Park would both schedule West Chicago and lower U8 teams. It would be tougher but also schools in the mid-lower tier of Mid-Suburban (Schaumburg, etc) could be looking for a team like West Chicago or Streamwood etc to try and help get to 5 wins. Plus some of the lower tier WSG schools.

I think there’s enough schools that these ADs can find games, but it starts with expanding. Riverside-Brookfield is looking for a home so they could be one but it’s up to the conference to find those teams.
 
I think St Charles East and Lake Park would both schedule West Chicago and lower U8 teams. It would be tougher but also schools in the mid-lower tier of Mid-Suburban (Schaumburg, etc) could be looking for a team like West Chicago or Streamwood etc to try and help get to 5 wins. Plus some of the lower tier WSG schools.

I think there’s enough schools that these ADs can find games, but it starts with expanding. Riverside-Brookfield is looking for a home so they could be one but it’s up to the conference to find those teams.
Yes, but why would West Chicago, who's also looking for wins, schedule those teams you mentioned?
 
Yes, but why would West Chicago, who's also looking for wins, schedule those teams you mentioned?
What choice does WC have? What “wins” are available for them to schedule? Lower level CPS schools every yr? Not sure they are too concerned with scheduling wins based on the lack of success theyve had for a while.
 
As I mentioned in a post last Friday night, Hersey has the fastest team I can ever recall in my 40 years of watching high school football in the North/Northwest suburbs. The key to this game will definitely be Batavia limiting possessions for the Huskies. Weather could be a big factor as Hersey like to throw a lot of bubble and tunnel screens. Junior Carson Grove plays safety and WR and can absolutely fly and is a game changer on kick and punt return. Reminds me A LOT of their current head coach when he played there. Sophomore Chuck Meister is a player with big time upside as a ferocious hitter from the safety spot and also doubles as a tailback. Senior Kersemeier will get the majority of the carries at tailback and can fly. Both the Qbs can run although Soph Gumino more of the thrower and Hansen more a runner. Let's not forget about Power 5 Soph TE Logan Farrell who transferred from Palatine. Kid can scoot as well and needs to always be accounted for and plays with a high motor. Batavia gonna have to tackle well and win the turnover battle because they will not be able to match the speed. I believe this comes down to a last drive winner for either side and I personally am excited to be there rain, wind, cold, whatever.....
Hersey by 2 TDs, 35-21. Batavia can't match this speed.
Who was the IHSA 3A Track State Champion last spring…BATAVIA…the Bulldogs are loaded with speed athletes that took down everybody else in IL…
 
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