Massey Ranking Accuracy- Week 1
- Edgy's Lost His Mind Free Football Board
- 13 Replies
Accidentally posted this 1st on paid board, apologies for duplicate.
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I only learned of the Massey ratings from this board & then added them to the dashboard I created with team schedules & stats from 2023. Know we need to take those rankings (in particular pre-season & early season) with grain of salt. Nevertheless, thought I would see how they held up. So, I took Massey pre-season rankings and compared to week 1 results. I assumed the higher ranked team would be favored, so ignoring home field etc. Here goes:
Overall: Out of the 228 in state games that I could match a pre-season ranking for both teams, Massey would predict 172/228 correctly- 75%
Top 10 upsets by ranking difference:
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I only learned of the Massey ratings from this board & then added them to the dashboard I created with team schedules & stats from 2023. Know we need to take those rankings (in particular pre-season & early season) with grain of salt. Nevertheless, thought I would see how they held up. So, I took Massey pre-season rankings and compared to week 1 results. I assumed the higher ranked team would be favored, so ignoring home field etc. Here goes:
Overall: Out of the 228 in state games that I could match a pre-season ranking for both teams, Massey would predict 172/228 correctly- 75%
Top 10 upsets by ranking difference:
#104 Chicago (De La Salle) 0 <> #291 Summit (Argo) 45 |
#316 Chester 35 <> #167 DuQuoin (H.S.) 27 |
#362 Erie [E.-Prophetstown Coop] 13 <> #234 Kewanee (H.S.) 6 |
#191 Plainfield (South) 3 <> #75 Yorkville (H.S.) 0 |
#358 Elmwood [E.-Brimfield Coop] 41 <> #250 Knoxville 28 |
#374 North Chicago 32 <> #274 Wheeling 0 |
#186 Plainfield (Central) 14 <> #284 Waukegan (H.S.) 16 |
#277 Franklin Park-Northlake (Leyden) 30 <> #188 Highland Park 27 |
#285 Dakota 0 <> #373 Dwight [Dwight/Gardner-So. Wilmington Coop] 49 |
#302 Manteno 54 <> #218 Sandwich 32 |